Archive for the ‘Miss USA’ Category

>The Future and the Present

April 23, 2009

>Here is the future of same sex marriage state by state, as predicted by Nate Silver at FiveThirtyEight and mapped by Chachy at The Map Scroll.

The years indicated are those by which a gay marriage ban would be defeated by voters in a given state, according to a regression model designed by Silver. His model included three variables: the year in which an anti-marriage amendment was voted on, the percentage of adults who said religion played an important part in their lives, and the percentage of white evangelicals in the state.

In some states a ban would already be expected to fail; New England and New York and some Western states. There is more explanation at the link above. Where Alabama stands is below.

The Winner Answers the Question
Miss USA 2009 Kristen Dalton was on the Today Show yesterday and was asked the same question that Miss California was asked during the competition. Granted, Kristen had time to think about it, but…

The Present

Here is some information about same sex couples in Alabama, from Williams Institute. Here is the Alabama Snapshot. This information is based on 2005 data, so there are probably more same sex couples now.

My comment, up front, is that the actual numbers of same sex couples and GLB individuals in the state are probably higher, since a number of people still tend to hide or deny their sexual orientation, yet I doubt many lie and claim to be gay when they are not.

There were 8,602 same sex couples living in Alabama in 2005. There were 94, 639 gay, lesbian or bisexual individuals (single or coupled) in the state. That’s about 2% of the population.

The demographics are interesting. Individuals in same sex couples are, on average, 41 years old, and are significantly younger than individuals in married opposite sex relationships. Does that mean that gays are able to fall in love and commit to one another at an an earlier age than straights (or does it mean that we break up earlier, which could be in part due to lack of legal recognition and the sense of permanency that goes with it)?

Same sex couples live in every county in the state, with Jefferson County having the most (1488 couples, 0.57% of all households), followed by Mobile County (800, 0.53%), and Madison County (430, 0.39%).

Here’s a surprise: the counties with the highest percentage of same sex households are Perry (0.72%), Hale (0.64%), Choctaw (0.63%) and Bullock (0.63%).

Individuals in same sex relationships are more likely to be employed (66%) than individuals in married opposite sex relationships (63%).

Individuals in same sex relationships are more likely to have a college education, (23%) compared to married individuals (21%).

Individuals in same sex relationships are less likely to have served in the military (7%) than married individuals (17%).

About 25% of same sex couples are raising children under the age of 18, (about 3,309 children).

Conclusion

Same sex couples are a significant part of Alabama demographics and will eventually have their relationships recognized. I predict it will be sooner than the 2024 prediction by Silver.

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>Miss USA and Progressive Republicans

April 21, 2009

>Kristen Dalton


I’m trying very hard to decide why this created controversy.

First, I wonder why Perez Hilton was chosen to be a judge, but that’s a different issue.

No, I wonder why they claim that Miss California Carrie Prejean lost the pageant because of her answer. That is what conservatives are claiming.

I didn’t watch the pageant, but I read that Kristen Dalton, who won, also beat Miss California in the swim suit and evening gown competition. It seems she won the pageant fair and square.

From Digital City :

“Miss North Carolina USA Kristen Dalton had the highest scores of the contestants in both sections with a 9.198 in swimsuit and a 9.470 in gown.”

This seems more like a Fox News type fabricated controversy to make it seem that someone was victimized because of her conservative views.

Who cares what a Miss USA contestant thinks about an issue? Sure, it’s a little disappointing that she’s not more enlightened, but this is a contest where women parade around in bikinis, after all.

So let’s not get distracted by one beauty queen’s view. She’s allowed to have her view. But it’s also right to point out that the country is moving past her view at lightning (well, slow lightning) speed.

Take this for instance.

Meghan McCain, daughter of Senator John McCain, describes herself as a “progressive Republican”, is liberal on social issues and says she was “raised a Christian, an open minded Christian.” She supports same sex marriage.

The future of the Republican Party depends on people like Meghan McCain. But for now, the party is controlled by…controlled by…well, for now the party is out of control.